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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail–But Some Don’t

By: Nate Silver

Book Condition: Good, Small tear on back cover
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RM23.90 RM20.32

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Description

Many predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. In this essential work, Nate Silver-the FiveThirtyEight.com founder who nearly perfectly forecasted the 2012 and 2008 elections-examines the world of prediction. investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy. ever-increasing data. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits innovative forecasters in a range of areas-from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA and examines both successes and failures to determine what more accurate forecasters have in common."Not so different in spirit from the way public intellectuals like John Kenneth Galbraith once shaped discussions of economic policy and public figures like Walter Cronkite helped sway opinion on the Vietnam War... could turn out to be one of the more momentous books of the decade."-The New York Times Book Review

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Weight 451 g
Dimensions 213 × 139 × 34 mm
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ISBN 9780143124009

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